헤드엔숄더 - Kings Crown 매매기법

아직 번역하지 않은 문장을 그대로 올려봅니다. 번역은 중간중간 조금씩 하겠습니다 ^^ 혹 이거 다 번역하신분은 제게 쪽지로 변역문을 보내주셔도 됩니다.

이 패턴은 헤드엔숄더로 문서를 작성한 필자는 이 패턴을 왕의 왕관과 비슷한 모양이라고 하여 킹스 크라운이라는 이름으로 글을 썼습니다.

어찌보면 패턴의 왕이라는 헤드엔숄더패턴으로 왕의 왕관과 같이 왕이라는 표현이 전혀 무색하지 않는 패턴입니다. 이패턴에 대해서 이해해보고 서로 많은 토론을 나누어 진입 시점, 패턴 확인방법등을 공유하시면 여러분이 생각 못한것을 다른분들께서 생각해낼수도 있다는거 잊지 마시고요 ^^

--------------

FX마진의 추세 반전 패턴(Trend reversal pattern) 왕의 왕관

왕의 왕관 패턴은 캔들차트에 한눈에 봐도 왕의 왕관 모양처럼 보이는 포메이션, 즉 패턴이다.  내가 수년동안 교육을 통해 이 패턴의 단계별 과정을 분석하고 형성 초기 충분한 인식이 동반된다면 마켓에서 가장 수익성 높은 거래 패턴중 하나라는것을 장담한다. 왕의 왕관 패턴은 피보나치 수열과 시장의 흐름이 만들어내는 기술적인 반전 거래 패턴이다.

두종류의 왕의 왕관 : 고가권 또는 상승 추세의 끝부근의 상승 왕관과 바닥권 또는 하락 추세의 끝부근의 하락 왕관이 있다. 이 패턴은 눈으로 보기에 왕관모양을 하고 있으며 아래 그림과 같은 기하학적인 모양을 나타낸다. 왕관의 모양이 나타날경우 대부분 예상된 방향으로 움직이게 된다.

STEP 1

In trading the uptrend Crown, the uptrend line is broken; this indicates a 50/50 chance of a trend reversal. There are still Fibonacci numbers below the trend line that may hold as support and keep the trend bullish.

STEP 2:

The market returns and tests the previous level of support, equals it, or takes it out and makes an equal low or lower low. The odds now change to an 80% chance of a Trend reversal and a 20% chance of a continued up trend move.

STEP 3:

Find B of the up A,B,C,D. That will be the left tip of the crown. The height of the left tip will give you an indication of where the right tip may go.

STEP 4:

Enter the market at the backside of the trend line and or the corresponding Fibonacci number which will now become C in the new down trend indicating A,B,C,D.

Using the Fibonacci tool, draw your Fibonacci lines from the new down A, B to project the C (indicating your SELL entry), and the D (indicating your BUY exit for profit) Place your protective stop loss order at the last high or the new Down A. This will protect you against loss should the crown or reversal not hold and the uptrend shifts it channel and continues up.

STEP 5:

Draw a new downward trend line across A & C. The market should continue to fall below the trend line making new A,B,C,D’s.

THE FINAL PRODUCT:

The Uptrend King’s Crown is now complete and if the market is meant to fall, the continued movement will begin to wave down.

The graph below shows an actual example in the market of an Uptrend King's Crown.

THE RULES OF TRADING THE KING’S CROWN

• Find and Draw all Trend lines… inner, outer and long-term.
• This will help you to determine if you are in an uptrend, downtrend or if a trend line has been broken signifying the potential end of a trend.
• Find the trend line BREAK. See if the market has returned to the support line in an uptrend, or resistance in a downtrend. (Remember, if an inner trend line is broken it my only go to the outer and only create a small move.)
• Follow the potential crown movement steps 1-5. If steps 1 and 2 are achieved, start setting up your trade, a crown is about to form.
• There are only two entries, at a .618 / 786 / back side of a trend line or Entry at B, only after a .382 bounce.
• Pull out your traders check list and create a trading plan and trade the plan.
• If you can’t afford the potential loss should the trade not work out, then … STAY OUT and DO NOT TRADE
• The exact same rules apply to trading a downtrend crown, but in the opposite direction.

The graph below shows an actual example in the market of a DOWNTREND King’s Crown.

Let us look at examples of a King's Crown in the current FOREX Euro Market.

MTI 4.0 Charting Software will enable you to visually recognize specific Candlestick formations in the market, such as the King's Crown. Our Traders further have access to a global inter-active Chatroom, where novice as well as experienced money managers receive valuable ongoing assistance, mentorship and guidance with their trading.

Earlier this year, the EUR developed a bearish King’s Crown pattern after failing a third time to sustain new highs above the 1.2900 level.

The first part of the crown formation is labeled as #1, the trend line break. The second part of the pattern is the test of previous support as labeled by #2. Number 3 is finding the left tip of the King's Crown.

Prices then recovered to form a near perfect right tip as shown by #4. Selling into the right tip or on a break of #2 in this case proved to be rewarding as a new downtrend developed.

Now the crown is complete, and selling the right tip of the crown proved to be extremely profitable.

More recently after the “dip” in the EURO from 1.2900, the EURO started to “bottom out” and a downtrend King’s Crown formation developed on the 1 hour chart. In this case, after breaking an inner-down trend line, prices worked their way to the outer or next downtrend line, where prices completed the #2 of the pattern, as they bounced at the outer downtrend line. A morning star candlestick formation appeared at the right tip of the crown, which confirmed the rally. Since then, prices have been working their way toward the next outer-downtrend line.

The crown reversal pattern can become one of the most powerful and profitable price patterns to those who understand it.

IN SUMMARY …

Successful traders will do… what unsuccessful traders can’t and won’t do.

Once again… Education First! Learning pattern recognition is imperative to the technical trader. Remember, you must keep it simple. The market can only move UP, DOWN or SIDEWAYS! We teach you how to recognize 4 Crown / Reversal formations. Each one comes with a set of rules for “entry”, “exit for large profit” and “exit for small loss”. Learning the crown formations can make a significant difference in your Trading profitability. We will teach you how to try to take advantage of the markets as it reverses… so that it doesn’t take advantage of you!!